empty
02.07.2024 09:21 AM
EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis on July 2

EUR/USD

This image is no longer relevant

Higher timeframes

Yesterday, the pair tested the resistance around 1.0767 (weekly and monthly Fibonacci Kijuns), but as a result, there was a long upper shadow. The bulls' weakness may lie in the fact that the bears could completely neutralize the bullish activity at the beginning of the week, manage to close the bullish gap formed at the opening level, and reclaim the support of the intraday short-term trend (1.0722). After this, the focus will shift to two bearish targets: the nearest low (1.0667) and the monthly support (1.0611). The bulls can prevent this scenario from unfolding by returning EUR/USD to the resistance area (1.0767) and have the price consolidate above this mark.

This image is no longer relevant

H4 – H1

Yesterday, the pair stopped rising by the final resistance of the classic Pivot levels. Under these conditions, the bulls still have the advantage, but the pair is in a deep correction, with the nearest support being the weekly long-term trend (1.0713). Breaking and reversing this trend could change the current balance of power. In order to continue the downward movement within the day, additional support levels are found at 1.0689 and 1.0657 (classic Pivot levels). If the bulls want to prepare in advance, they will need to restore their positions and work on the pair's upward movement during the day. To do so, the price must overcome the resistances of the classic Pivot levels (1.0746 - 1.0771 - 1.0803 - 1.0828).

***

GBP/USD

This image is no longer relevant

Higher timeframes

The pound, having cast a long upper shadow and reached the daily resistance (1.2706), returned below the weekly levels (1.2652-65) by the end of the day. In order to support the bearish bias, the pair needs to exit the current corrective zone and meet the nearest supports around 1.2608 – 1.2596 (the upper boundary of the daily cloud + the weekly medium-term trend). Meanwhile, the bulls need to take control of the weekly levels (1.2652-65), consolidate above them, and move away from their area of influence.

This image is no longer relevant

H4 – H1

The key levels on the lower timeframes are 1.2651 (weekly long-term trend) and 1.2662 (central Pivot level of the day), positioned near the most critical levels of the higher timeframes (1.2652-65). Therefore, all conclusions and expectations mentioned above have been confirmed on the lower timeframes. The bears must keep the GBP/USD below these levels. Increased bearish sentiment will progress throughout the day through the supports of the classic Pivot levels (1.2616 – 1.2585 – 1.2539). The bulls will gain an advantage if the pound breaks the key levels (1.2651-62) and firmly consolidates above them. To support the upward movement, the targets will be the resistances of the classic Pivot levels (1.2693 – 1.2739 – 1.2770).

***

The technical analysis of the situation uses:

Higher timeframes - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibonacci Kijun levels

Lower timeframes - H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. Fed Meeting Results May Lead the Pair to a Decline

The pair is consolidating in a narrow range below the resistance level of 1.1345 in anticipation of the outcome of the Fed's monetary policy meeting, which will conclude on Wednesday

Pati Gani 10:59 2025-05-05 UTC+2

EUR/USD – May 5th: The U.S. Labor Market Is Not Hopeless

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair rose to the level of 1.1374, bounced off, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar. The bears attacked again, but only briefly, and overall

Samir Klishi 10:57 2025-05-05 UTC+2

GBP/USD – May 5: Trump May Lift Tariffs on China

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Friday toward the 161.8% Fibonacci correction level at 1.3249. A rebound from this level will favor the British pound

Samir Klishi 10:51 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Forex forecast 05/05/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:23 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Gold Commodity Instrument, Monday May 05, 2025.

With the appearance of the Failing Wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, it gives an indication that in the near future it has the potential to go to the level

Arief Makmur 08:23 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of EUR/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Monday May 05, 2025.

By looking at the 4-hour chart of the EUR/JPY cross currency pair, it appears that in the near future EUR/JPY has the potential to strengthen, which is confirmed

Arief Makmur 08:23 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement Nasdaq 100 Index, Friday May 02, 2025.

From what is seen on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 index, the Stochastic Oscillator indicator is in a Crossing SELL condition and the appearance of a Rising Wedge

Arief Makmur 08:04 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for May 1-3, 2025: buy above $3,203 (200 EMA - 5/8 Murray)

The price of the yellow metal is likely to trade between 3,203 and could reach the bottom of the bearish channel around 3,181 in the coming days, a level that

Dimitrios Zappas 17:49 2025-05-01 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 30, 2025: sell below 1.1376 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1378 within the downtrend channel formed on April 17 and showing signs of exhaustion of bullish strength. A technical

Dimitrios Zappas 17:37 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Forex forecast 30/04/2025: EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY, Gold, and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 16:31 2025-04-30 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.